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The world will not end when the LHC first collides 2 beams

Created by Glenn on 2008-09-09; known on 2009-12-28; judged right by rwallace on 2009-12-28.

  • Glenn estimated 100% on 2008-09-09
  • Glenn said “OR it won’t create a micro-blackhole that doesn’t decay with hawking radiation and turn the world inside out in 4 years” on 2008-09-09
  • Glenn said “AND it won’t… ugh. Whatever. Read what I meant.” on 2008-09-09
  • Glenn   judged this prediction right on 2008-09-11.
  • Glenn   judged this prediction wrong on 2008-09-11.
  • Glenn   judged this prediction unknown on 2008-09-11.
  • Matt estimated 100% and said “(I want a way to say ‘much more than 99, but less than 100’)” on 2008-09-19
  • Adam said “Did they actually get to collide anything before the quench shut things down?” on 2008-09-23
  • Glenn said “No, they didn’t.” on 2008-09-24
  • Glenn said “Although this is a good opportunity to use edit! It’s been delayed until 2009!!!” on 2008-09-24
  • Glenn said “And I DEMAND that the length limit of comments be based on the post-textile length. And that the preview tells you when you are over somehow.” on 2008-09-24
  • Glenn said “and I can’t check email me if someone responds, i’ll file a bug report tomorrow” on 2008-09-24
  • Glenn said “And I think, as a usability thing, having this comment box under the responses would be nice. I reckon the other stuff can stay here (including confidence…!)” on 2008-09-24
  • Glenn changed the deadline from “on 2008-10-09” on 2008-10-06
  • Simulacra estimated 100% on 2009-04-30
  • Matt said “wikipedia: “the LHC is scheduled to be operational again no sooner than September 2009”” on 2009-05-05
  • Glenn changed the deadline from “on 2009-05-05” on 2009-05-11
  • Glenn changed the deadline from “on 2009-09-15” on 2009-09-28
  • Glenn said “They are preparing things as we speak http://twitter.com/cern” on 2009-09-28
  • Glenn estimated 100% on 2009-09-28
  • Jack estimated 100% on 2009-10-14
  • max   judged this prediction right on 2009-10-14.
  • rwallace   judged this prediction unknown on 2009-10-14.
  • rwallace estimated 100% on 2009-10-14
  • Arenamontanus estimated 99% on 2009-10-14
  • ChristianKl estimated 100% on 2009-10-15
  • VoiceOfAuthority estimated 100% on 2009-10-19
  • atrus estimated 100% on 2009-11-02
  • borisbrev estimated 99% and said “99.9999991% sure, yet the 0.0000009% might be a good reason to lose one’s sleep over it…” on 2009-11-04
  • NineteenHalves estimated 100% on 2009-11-12
  • skaye estimated 100% on 2009-11-12
  • rwallace   judged this prediction right on 2009-12-28.