Most human workers spend the majority of their time acquiring new skills and knowledge by 2020. —Ray Kurzweil

Created by gwern on 2010-11-12; known on 2020-01-01

  • gwern estimated 5% on 2010-11-12
  • gwern said “http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Predictions_made_by_Ray_Kurzweil#2019on 2010-11-12
  • gwern said “the highest knowledge-based professions like programming or lawyers or doctors don’t spend most of their working time learning! even farmers in Africa?on 2010-11-12
  • kallman estimated 2% and said “Ray and his intoxicating optimism. Largish minority (30%?) even seems laughably high.on 2010-11-20
  • stephenh estimated 1% on 2010-12-11
  • gimpf estimated 1% on 2010-12-12
  • Emanuel Rylke estimated 1% on 2012-04-29
  • JoshuaZ estimated 1% on 2012-04-29
  • Jayson Virissimo estimated 0% on 2012-04-30
  • Pablo Stafforini estimated 1% on 2012-10-01
  • halfwit estimated 1% and said “The is an absurd prediction. on 2013-06-10
  • a0c4a123f7 estimated 1% and said “Pft, seriously? Even in first world nations and even among high-status professionals I don’t think this is likely.on 2013-06-10
  • RandomThinker said “@halfwit agree completely. I don’t know why people pay attention to Kurzweil.on 2013-06-13
  • ethaneshaw said “<br><br><a href="http://uggsoutletonline618.webs.com"> blog </a><br><br>on 2015-11-16
  • themusicgod1 estimated 22% on 2016-04-15

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