Over the next year or two, Apple will bring Cocoa development to the Windows desktop via an App Store that sells titles to a broad audience — Daniel Eran Dilger http://bit.ly/aXTPXK

Created by TheScholar on 2010-11-15; known on 2012-12-31; judged wrong by Emanuel Rylke on 2012-12-31.

• TheScholar estimated 55% on 2010-11-15
• gwern estimated 20% and said “It just isn’t very Apple-y. When was the last time you heard about Safari on Windows?” on 2010-11-15
• gwern said “http://www.apple.com/mac/app-store/ doesn’t mention windows…” on 2011-01-06
• PseudonymousUser estimated 7% on 2011-08-09
• Ben Doherty estimated 15% on 2012-04-10
• Emanuel Rylke estimated 3% on 2012-04-10
• RandomThinker estimated 5% and said “Apple wants to kill the PC, not make money from it” on 2012-04-10
• ashrewdmint estimated 1% and said “No.” on 2012-12-17
• Emanuel Rylke   judged this prediction wrong on 2012-12-31.