Apple will release their desktop OS as software only before 2015

Created by raavin on 2010-11-18; known on 2015-12-31; judged wrong by btrettel on 2015-06-11.

  • raavin estimated 90% on 2010-11-18
  • gwern estimated 20% and said “history disagreeson 2010-11-18
  • stephenh estimated 25% on 2010-12-11
  • gimpf estimated 5% on 2010-12-12
  • bobpage estimated 10% on 2011-01-21
  • saturn estimated 10% on 2012-03-28
  • btrettel  judged this prediction wrong on 2015-06-11.

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