'Facebook will pass 1 billion users.' in 2011 —Chris O'Brien

Created by gwern on 2010-12-26; known on 2012-01-01; judged wrong by bobpage on 2012-01-03.

  • gwern estimated 60% on 2010-12-26
  • kallman said “Hm. 1 billion accounts? Or 1 billion people actually using it? Can’t be active accounts obviously.on 2010-12-30
  • bobpage said “Facebook reported 750 million monthly active users in June 2011, and 800 million in September. (And the active users number is the only number anyone talks about.)on 2012-01-03
  • bobpage  judged this prediction wrong on 2012-01-03.

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