'Google will buy Twitter' in 2011 —Chris O'Brien

Created by gwern on 2010-12-26; known on 2012-01-01; judged wrong by bobpage on 2012-01-01.

  • gwern estimated 30% on 2010-12-26
  • gwern said “http://www.mercurynews.com/business/ci_16930409on 2010-12-26
  • gwern said “failed by-2010 prediction: http://predictionbook.com/predictions/70 nor bought in 2010on 2010-12-26
  • gwern said “people’ve been saying this for a long time now, still hasn’t happenedon 2010-12-26
  • kallman estimated 20% and said “Google already pseudo competes with Blogger and Buzz, right?on 2010-12-30
  • Larks estimated 33% on 2011-01-01
  • Nic_Smith estimated 35% on 2011-01-04
  • quanticle  judged this prediction wrong on 2011-01-04.
  • quanticle  judged this prediction unknown on 2011-01-04.
  • quanticle  judged this prediction wrong on 2011-01-04.
  • quanticle  judged this prediction unknown on 2011-01-04.
  • quanticle estimated 35% and said “I think Google’s acquisition spree is cooling.on 2011-01-04
  • luminosity estimated 20% on 2011-01-13
  • bobpage  judged this prediction wrong on 2011-01-21.
  • bobpage said “they would have already bought it by nowon 2011-01-21
  • bobpage  judged this prediction unknown on 2011-01-21.
  • bobpage estimated 20% on 2011-01-21
  • Nic_Smith estimated 5% and said “The Google Plus launch strongly hints against this.on 2011-07-16
  • Ken estimated 3% on 2011-09-12
  • bobpage estimated 3% on 2011-11-28
  • Anubhav estimated 2% on 2011-11-28
  • bobpage  judged this prediction wrong on 2012-01-01.

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