The Supreme Court will hear an appeal challenging Obamacare and uphold the acts in 2011. —Capitol Commentary

Created by gwern on 2011-01-01; known on 2012-01-01; judged wrong by gwern on 2012-01-23.

• gwern estimated 40% on 2011-01-01
• gwern said “I’m not sure they’ll accept any such appeals, and even if they do, there’s a decent chance they will strike it down. Between the 2…” on 2011-01-01
• gwern said “http://capitolcommentary.com/2011/01/01/capitol-commentary-2011-predictions/” on 2011-01-01
• gwern said “arguments scheduled for march, so this is definitely wrong – they can’t uphold it in 2011 if they haven;t even heard it! http://www.timesunion.com/opinion/article/More-than-Obamacare-on-the-line-2674272.php” on 2012-01-23
• gwern   judged this prediction wrong on 2012-01-23.