Asif Ali Zardari will cease to be president of Pakistan during 2011

Created by gwern on 2011-01-01; known on 2012-01-01; judged wrong by gwern on 2012-01-03.

• gwern estimated 20% on 2011-01-01
• gwern said “still there. marking wrong.” on 2012-01-03
• gwern   judged this prediction wrong on 2012-01-03.