Fidel Castro will not die in 2011

Created by gwern on 2011-01-01; known on 2012-01-01; judged right by JoshuaZ on 2012-01-01.

• gwern estimated 90% on 2011-01-01
• gwern said “http://www.reddit.com/r/reddit.com/comments/eu7tx/im_feeling_a_bit_psychic_heres_my_2011_predictions/c1aywx7” on 2011-01-01
• Larks estimated 90% on 2011-01-01
• Konkvistador estimated 97% on 2011-07-21
• JoshuaZ   judged this prediction right on 2012-01-01.