Intrade will close/merge/be sold by 2012.

Created by gwern on 2011-01-02; known on 2012-01-01; judged wrong by gwern on 2011-12-31.

  • gwern estimated 5% on 2011-01-02
  • gwern said “their CEO died, but they’re still operatingon 2011-12-31
  • gwern  judged this prediction wrong on 2011-12-31.

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