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HP MoR: Professor Quirrel is manipulating Harry into getting the Philosopher's stone for him (as of ch95)

Created by Kurosymph on 2013-07-18; known on 2014-01-16; judged right by Oscar_Cunningham on 2015-03-26.

  • Kurosymph estimated 30% on 2013-07-18
  • gwern estimated 33% and said “not sure how that serves Quirrel’s plan which currently seem to be neutralizing Harry; he hasn’t brought up the Stone yet, implying it’s not a useful trackon 2013-07-19
  • Kurosymph changed the deadline from “on 2014-01-16” and changed their prediction from “[HPMOR] Professor Quirell is manipulating Harry into getting the Philosopher's stone for him ( chapter 95)” on 2013-07-19
  • Oscar_Cunningham estimated 20% on 2013-07-29
  • holycow81 estimated 13% on 2013-08-04
  • JayDee estimated 10% on 2013-08-21
  • player_03 estimated 25% on 2014-04-26
  • Oscar_Cunningham   judged this prediction right on 2015-03-26.