'We will eradicate malaria, I believe, to the point where there are no human cases reported globally in 2035' —Tachi Yamada

Created by gwern on 2011-01-03; known on 2036-01-01

  • gwern estimated 15% on 2011-01-03
  • gwern said “http://www.guardian.co.uk/society/2011/jan/02/25-predictions-25-yearson 2011-01-03
  • gwern said “predictor a little biased by his day-job, methinks.on 2011-01-03
  • JoshuaZ estimated 40% and said “I’m not sure that the disease will be eradicated but I’d be it seems likely that malaria will no longer a major cause of death. on 2011-01-03
  • gimpf estimated 50% on 2011-01-09
  • JoshuaZ estimated 30% and said “Having looked at problem more, seems more unlikely. Tags:disease, medicineon 2011-09-04
  • themusicgod1 estimated 47% on 2016-10-07
  • JoshuaZ estimated 52% on 2016-10-07

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