'We will eradicate malaria, I believe, to the point where there are no human cases reported globally in 2035' —Tachi Yamada

Created by gwern on 2011-01-03; known on 2036-01-01

• gwern estimated 15% on 2011-01-03
• gwern said “http://www.guardian.co.uk/society/2011/jan/02/25-predictions-25-years” on 2011-01-03
• gwern said “predictor a little biased by his day-job, methinks.” on 2011-01-03
• JoshuaZ estimated 40% and said “I’m not sure that the disease will be eradicated but I’d be it seems likely that malaria will no longer a major cause of death. ” on 2011-01-03
• gimpf estimated 50% on 2011-01-09
• JoshuaZ estimated 30% and said “Having looked at problem more, seems more unlikely. Tags:disease, medicine” on 2011-09-04
• themusicgod1 estimated 47% on 2016-10-07
• JoshuaZ estimated 52% on 2016-10-07
• pranomostro estimated 50% on 2019-01-08
• JoshuaZ estimated 51% on 2019-01-09
• Konsti estimated 20% and said “Unlikely, since it is currently not seen as a major problem by most wealthy countries” on 2021-04-02