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katla volcano will not erupt in 2011

Created by scav on 2011-01-05; known on 2012-01-01; judged right by gwern on 2011-12-31.

  • scav estimated 80% on 2011-01-05
  • gwern estimated 95% on 2011-01-05
  • gwern   judged this prediction right on 2011-12-31.