'The Riemann Hypothesis will not be proven [in ZFC]' —JoshuaZ

Created by gwern on 2011-01-06; known on 2012-01-01; judged right by JoshuaZ on 2012-01-01.

• gwern estimated 98% on 2011-01-06
• gwern said “http://lesswrong.com/lw/3kz/new_years_predictions_thread_2011/39kc” on 2011-01-06
• JoshuaZ estimated 95% and said “Note that this estimate disagrees with the one I gave on the LW thread since I was quickly convinced that I was being very underconfident. ” on 2011-01-08
• gwern said “see also http://lesswrong.com/lw/3kz/new_years_predictions_thread_2011/39xy” on 2011-01-10
• papermachine estimated 99% on 2011-07-04
• JoshuaZ estimated 99% and said “Year’s almost over. Isn’t happening. ” on 2011-11-17
• JoshuaZ   judged this prediction right on 2012-01-01.