The price of gold will fall in real terms. —Costanza

Created by gwern on 2011-01-07; known on 2012-01-01; judged wrong by gwern on 2012-01-10.

• gwern estimated 40% on 2011-01-07
• gwern said “http://lesswrong.com/lw/3kz/new_years_predictions_thread_2011/39la” on 2011-01-07
• gimpf estimated 40% on 2011-01-09
• gwern said “agrees that this was wrong: http://lesswrong.com/lw/3kz/new_years_predictions_thread_2011/39la” on 2012-01-10
• gwern   judged this prediction wrong on 2012-01-10.