'In 2011, a new law will be proposed in some jurisdiction which specifically: Restricts cryonics activity.' —icebrand

Created by gwern on 2011-01-07; known on 2012-01-01; judged wrong by JoshuaZ on 2012-01-01.

• gwern estimated 10% on 2011-01-07
• gwern said “http://lesswrong.com/lw/3kz/new_years_predictions_thread_2011/39n3” on 2011-01-07
• gwern said “last example given is 2004; so these laws aren’t very common” on 2011-01-07
• gimpf estimated 20% on 2011-01-09
• JoshuaZ estimated 5% on 2011-05-08
• Konkvistador estimated 5% on 2011-07-21
• fergus estimated 20% on 2011-08-18
• PseudonymousUser estimated 2% on 2011-11-28
• JoshuaZ   judged this prediction wrong on 2012-01-01.