'Oil price will go over $100/barrel at some time this year' —scav

Created by gwern on 2011-01-10; known on 2012-01-01; judged right by scav on 2011-03-03.

• gwern estimated 70% on 2011-01-10
• gwern said “http://lesswrong.com/lw/3kz/new_years_predictions_thread_2011/3ae0” on 2011-01-10
• gwern said “see also http://predictionbook.com/predictions/2056” on 2011-01-10
• scav estimated 80% on 2011-01-11
• scav   judged this prediction right on 2011-03-03.