Human drivers will be illegal on some USA roads by 2030

Created by Ben Doherty on 2013-09-14; known on 2030-01-01

• Ben Doherty estimated 50% on 2013-09-14
• Ben Doherty said “Given how excited people got about http://predictionbook.com/predictions/21082” on 2013-09-14
• JoshuaZ estimated 55% on 2013-09-15
• JoshuaZ said “(Note for future, Eve estimates 10%)” on 2013-09-15
• holycow81 estimated 18% on 2013-09-16
• RandomThinker said “They could build some roads just for self driving cars (because those cars aren’t as good on regular roads), in which case this might be true.” on 2013-09-17
• Jayson Virissimo estimated 65% on 2013-09-17
• NathanMcKnight estimated 55% on 2013-09-20
• qap estimated 20% on 2013-09-21
• NathanMcKnight estimated 40% on 2013-10-01
• shaldengeki estimated 70% on 2013-10-01
• drewmm estimated 10% on 2013-10-07
• tylercurtis estimated 66% on 2013-10-07
• schimmy estimated 10% and said “agree with RandomThinker on this one- unlikely that a regular road will have this law implemented. I could see something like the road to the airport pickup and dropoff being only drone cars to prevent idling. However, exceptions for antiques?” on 2013-10-08
• from3004 estimated 70% on 2014-10-16