'I get a “real job”: 1%' —CronoDAS

Created by gwern on 2011-01-10; known on 2012-01-01; judged wrong by Nic_Smith on 2012-01-01.

• gwern estimated 5% on 2011-01-10
• gwern said “http://lesswrong.com/lw/3kz/new_years_predictions_thread_2011/39xy” on 2011-01-10
• Nic_Smith estimated 9% and said “I more or less accept CronoDas as a subject expert in this matter.” on 2011-01-15
• Nic_Smith   judged this prediction wrong on 2012-01-01.
• Nic_Smith said “Per http://lesswrong.com/lw/94k/new_years_prediction_thread_2012/5klf” on 2012-01-01