Average daily global oil production (crude+condensate according to EIA figures) will not exceed 75 million barrels/day in any month of 2011
Created by scav on 2011-01-11; known on 2012-01-31; judged wrong by gwern on 2012-02-05.
- scav estimated 90% on 2011-01-11
- gwern estimated 60% on 2011-01-11
- gwern said “75.28 in january 2011: http://nextbigfuture.com/2011/04/eia-reports-new-peak-in-crude-oil-at.html marking wrong” on 2012-02-05
- gwern judged this prediction wrong on 2012-02-05.