PredictionBook is now read-only ( read more ).

A copyright takedown notice for The Notenki Memoirs will be sent to me in 2011.

Created by gwern on 2011-01-18; known on 2012-01-01; judged wrong by gwern on 2012-01-01.

  • gwern estimated 60% on 2011-01-18
  • gwern made the prediction on 2011-01-18
  • gwern made the prediction on 2011-09-08
  • gwern said “phew!on 2012-01-01
  • gwern   judged this prediction wrong on 2012-01-01.