BMR will not be operating in 6 months

Created by gwern on 2013-10-30; known on 2014-04-30; judged right by gwern on 2014-04-30.

• gwern estimated 35% on 2013-10-30
• gwern said “these 4 predictions were made pursuant to http://www.reddit.com/r/SilkRoad/comments/1pko9y/the_bet_bmr_and_sheep_to_die_in_a_year/” on 2013-10-31
• Grognor estimated 25% on 2014-01-31
• gwern   judged this prediction right on 2014-04-30.