'1000 dollars per Bitcoin by the end of the year.' —Bruce Wagner

Created by gwern on 2011-02-17; known on 2012-01-01; judged wrong by JoshuaZ on 2012-01-01.

  • gwern estimated 1% on 2011-02-17
  • gwern said “http://twitter.com/brucewagner/status/37903664018489345 current price is more like 1USDon 2011-02-17
  • bobpage estimated 0% on 2011-02-19
  • maxdemian  judged this prediction wrong on 2011-03-07.
  • bobpage  judged this prediction unknown on 2011-03-07.
  • Laereom  judged this prediction right on 2011-05-13.
  • Laereom  judged this prediction unknown on 2011-05-13.
  • Laereom  judged this prediction right on 2011-05-13.
  • Laereom  judged this prediction unknown on 2011-05-13.
  • Laereom estimated 20% and said “Some time? Sure. I’d be surprised if it didn’t happen in the next 5-10 years. By the end of the year? Maybe…we’ll see.on 2011-05-13
  • bobpage estimated 4% on 2011-06-11
  • fergus estimated 2% on 2011-08-19
  • bobpage estimated 0% on 2011-08-19
  • xrymbos estimated 5% on 2011-11-07
  • JoshuaZ  judged this prediction wrong on 2012-01-01.

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