Gaddafi will not be in power in Libya beyond 2011.

Created by maxdemian on 2011-03-07; known on 2012-01-01; judged right by gwern on 2011-10-21.

  • maxdemian estimated 70% on 2011-03-07
  • Konkvistador estimated 30% on 2011-07-21
  • gwern said “mistah kurtz, he dead. a penny for the old guyon 2011-10-21
  • gwern  judged this prediction right on 2011-10-21.

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