The world will not end on December 2012.

Created by puya on 2011-03-18; known on 2012-12-31; judged right by gwern on 2012-12-31.

  • puya estimated 99% on 2011-03-18
  • puya estimated 99% on 2011-03-18
  • gwern estimated 100% and said “Something of a dupe: http://predictionbook.com/predictions/521on 2011-03-18
  • Nic_Smith estimated 100% and said “Ah — but that claim would be true if the world were to end in November or any other month.on 2011-03-21
  • kilobug estimated 100% on 2011-11-18
  • Tuxedage estimated 100% on 2012-12-28
  • gwern  judged this prediction right on 2012-12-31.

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