Muammar al-Gaddafi will no longer be the leader of Libya by 31 September 2011

Created by Ben Doherty on 2011-03-22; known on 2011-10-01; judged right by JoshuaZ on 2011-08-30.

  • Ben Doherty estimated 75% on 2011-03-22
  • Ben Doherty said “lets see how I do against the wisdom of the market: http://bit.ly/eFdEsVon 2011-03-22
  • Nic_Smith estimated 55% on 2011-03-23
  • Sandra Åhlén estimated 65% on 2011-05-15
  • JoshuaZ estimated 80% on 2011-05-22
  • JoshuaZ said “Intrade has called this prediction correct. Any objects if I mark this correct? on 2011-08-29
  • Nic_Smith said “Seems reasonable to me.on 2011-08-30
  • JoshuaZ  judged this prediction right on 2011-08-30.

Please log in to respond to or judge prediction