The NYT, WSJ, or The Economist will run an article claiming that Malaysia Airlines Flight 370 has been found (intact or not) before 2015.

Created by Jayson Virissimo on 2014-03-19; known on 2015-01-01; judged wrong by mad on 2015-01-03.

• Jayson Virissimo estimated 65% on 2014-03-19
• mad estimated 75% on 2014-03-19
• Patrick Brinich-Langlois estimated 70% on 2014-03-21
• procran estimated 30% on 2014-03-21
• Coornail estimated 75% on 2014-03-21
• phreeza estimated 10% and said “unlikely” on 2014-03-28
• procran estimated 20% and said “.” on 2014-04-02
• Jayson Virissimo estimated 15% and said “Not looking good.” on 2014-07-12
• Ben Doherty estimated 40% on 2014-07-13
• mad said “Not found yet: http://www.theaustralian.com.au/business/aviation/priority-zone-search-for-mh370-could-take-another-five-months/story-e6frg95x-1227173091037” on 2015-01-03
• mad   judged this prediction wrong on 2015-01-03.