PredictionBook is now read-only ( read more ).

I will submit all relevant gwern.net links into witcoin.com within 30 minutes.

Created by gwern on 2011-03-29; known on 2011-03-29; judged wrong by gwern on 2011-03-29.

  • gwern estimated 70% on 2011-03-29
  • gwern   judged this prediction wrong on 2011-03-29.
  • gwern said “Actually took roughly 1 hour.on 2011-03-29