“Fukushima 1 evacuation radius to be 30km or more before midnight ET 30 April 2011” – Intrade

Created by Sandra Åhlén on 2011-04-01; known on 2011-05-01; judged wrong by Sandra Åhlén on 2011-05-01.

  • Sandra Åhlén estimated 35% on 2011-04-01
  • etrecheesecake  judged this prediction wrong on 2011-04-07.
  • Sandra Åhlén  judged this prediction unknown on 2011-04-09.
  • Ben Doherty estimated 20% on 2011-04-25
  • Ben Doherty said “Intrade is currently running at 2%, maybe I should have checked before I predicted!on 2011-04-25
  • Sandra Åhlén  judged this prediction wrong on 2011-05-01.

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