Allied forces will need at least 2 more months to overthow Gadhafi's government!

Created by minhduc on 2011-04-02; known on 2011-06-02; judged right by gwern on 2011-06-03.

  • minhduc estimated 80% on 2011-04-02
  • gwern estimated 60% on 2011-04-03
  • kallman estimated 80% and said “Known at the end of may, or mid-june sometime? Also, is wording to omit chance of failure intentional?on 2011-04-10
  • gwern said “reading gadhafi will not be overthrown within 2 months by allied forces, which is correcton 2011-06-03
  • gwern  judged this prediction right on 2011-06-03.

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