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A Presidential election will occur in Ukraine by June 5th or a Russian invasion of Ukraine will occur.

Created by JoshuaZ on 2014-04-21; known on 2014-06-05; judged right by JoshuaZ on 2014-05-25.

  • JoshuaZ estimated 75% on 2014-04-21
  • JoshuaZ said “Current election is called for May 25, but a slight delay is plausible. on 2014-04-21
  • ChanL estimated 80% on 2014-04-23
  • unique2 estimated 70% on 2014-04-29
  • nyabhingi estimated 65% on 2014-05-12
  • JoshuaZ   judged this prediction right on 2014-05-25.