Bush will commit suicide by the next 3 years.

Created by puya on 2011-04-06; known on 2014-08-09; judged wrong by clemux on 2014-08-09.

  • puya estimated 60% on 2011-04-06
  • gwern estimated 5% and said “GWB, presumably.on 2011-04-09
  • Nic_Smith estimated 1% and said “I’d be somewhat doubtful of this even in the face of a news report or obit saying it did!on 2011-04-09
  • kallman estimated 1% and said “He’s making more money than ever as a guest speaker and etc. Why would this be at all likely?on 2011-04-10
  • bobpage estimated 1% on 2011-04-17
  • torekp estimated 2% on 2011-04-30
  • JoshuaZ estimated 1% on 2011-07-04
  • Grognor estimated 0% on 2011-12-06
  • saturn estimated 1% on 2011-12-11
  • deschutron estimated 1% on 2014-06-06
  • rebellionkid estimated 1% on 2014-06-06
  • Temeraire estimated 1% on 2014-06-11
  • Jenson estimated 1% and said “You’re crazy.on 2014-06-26
  • Jayson Virissimo estimated 1% on 2014-06-26
  • Ham Nox estimated 0% and said “Hm. Suicide predictions could be a thing.on 2014-06-27
  • Andrew MacFie estimated 1% on 2014-06-29
  • RandomThinker estimated 8% and said “His paintings are going so well!on 2014-07-09
  • clemux estimated 3% on 2014-07-23
  • clemux estimated 0% on 2014-07-23
  • Ham Nox estimated 0% on 2014-08-02
  • spacemammoth estimated 0% and said “No chance!on 2014-08-02
  • clemux  judged this prediction wrong on 2014-08-09.

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