Bush will commit suicide by the next 3 years.

Created by puya on 2011-04-06; known on 2014-08-09; judged wrong by clemux on 2014-08-09.

• puya estimated 60% on 2011-04-06
• gwern estimated 5% and said “GWB, presumably.” on 2011-04-09
• Nic_Smith estimated 1% and said “I’d be somewhat doubtful of this even in the face of a news report or obit saying it did!” on 2011-04-09
• kallman estimated 1% and said “He’s making more money than ever as a guest speaker and etc. Why would this be at all likely?” on 2011-04-10
• PseudonymousUser estimated 1% on 2011-04-17
• torekp estimated 2% on 2011-04-30
• JoshuaZ estimated 1% on 2011-07-04
• Grognor estimated 0% on 2011-12-06
• saturn estimated 1% on 2011-12-11
• deschutron estimated 1% on 2014-06-06
• rebellionkid estimated 1% on 2014-06-06
• Temeraire estimated 1% on 2014-06-11
• Jenson estimated 1% and said “You’re crazy.” on 2014-06-26
• Jayson Virissimo estimated 1% on 2014-06-26
• Ham Nox estimated 0% and said “Hm. Suicide predictions could be a thing.” on 2014-06-27
• Andrew MacFie estimated 1% on 2014-06-29
• RandomThinker estimated 8% and said “His paintings are going so well!” on 2014-07-09
• clemux estimated 3% on 2014-07-23
• clemux estimated 0% on 2014-07-23
• Ham Nox estimated 0% on 2014-08-02
• spacemammoth estimated 0% and said “No chance!” on 2014-08-02
• clemux   judged this prediction wrong on 2014-08-09.