Over 70% of the respondents to the effective-altruist survey will be male. http://lesswrong.com/lw/k60/2014_survey_of_effective_altruists/

Created by Patrick Brinich-Langlois on 2014-05-01; known on 2014-07-01; judged right by etarletons on 2015-03-18.

• Patrick Brinich-Langlois estimated 66% on 2014-05-01
• tog22 estimated 60% on 2014-05-01
• Peter Hurford estimated 65% on 2014-05-02
• etarletons estimated 80% and said “Unless it attracts many EAs from outside of LW, this is extremely likely. The LW annual survey consistently reports 90% men.” on 2014-05-02
• raisin estimated 80% on 2014-05-03
• Andrew MacFie estimated 60% on 2014-05-06
• Rowan93 estimated 75% on 2014-05-08
• tedks estimated 95% on 2014-05-08
• Joseph Prince estimated 90% on 2014-05-09
• JoshuaZ estimated 85% on 2014-05-10
• procran estimated 80% on 2014-05-11
• Rory O’Kane estimated 90% on 2014-05-11
• Michael Dickens estimated 80% on 2014-05-11
• Soeren estimated 65% on 2014-05-12
• rebellionkid estimated 80% on 2014-05-22
• rebellionkid said “poke any update here?” on 2014-10-01
• tedks said “the survey still looks to be open; the original known-by date might have been a little overzealous.” on 2014-11-13
• tog22 said “Peter Hurford’s just wrapping up the analysis – he expects to release it soon! See the .impact project page at https://impact.hackpad.com/EA-survey-data-analysis-UiMcMLwoHZg” on 2014-11-14
• etarletons said “Update?” on 2015-03-14
• etarletons said “75%. http://www.effective-altruism.com/ea/gb/the_2014_survey_of_effective_altruists_results/” on 2015-03-18
• etarletons   judged this prediction right on 2015-03-18.