Meat-eaters will outnumber all other categories combined (vegan, vegertarian, meat-reducer, near vegetarian) in effective-altruist survey. http://lesswrong.com/lw/k60/2014_survey_of_effective_altruists/

Created by Patrick Brinich-Langlois on 2014-05-01; known on 2014-07-01; judged wrong by rebellionkid on 2015-03-24.

• Patrick Brinich-Langlois estimated 50% on 2014-05-01
• tog22 estimated 70% on 2014-05-01
• Peter Hurford estimated 60% on 2014-05-02
• raisin estimated 60% on 2014-05-03
• Andrew MacFie estimated 50% on 2014-05-06
• Rory O’Kane estimated 70% on 2014-05-11
• Michael Dickens estimated 70% and said “I would be more confident but I think “meat-reducer” will be a large category.” on 2014-05-11
• Soeren estimated 50% on 2014-05-12
• rebellionkid estimated 50% on 2014-05-22
• Grognor estimated 69% on 2014-06-15
• bshannon estimated 90% on 2014-06-17
• Jenson estimated 50% on 2014-06-26
• clemux estimated 75% on 2014-06-26
• JoshuaZ estimated 55% on 2014-06-26
• Andrew MacFie said “Anyone know when the survey results will be released?” on 2014-07-07
• Pablo said “Andrew, you are welcome to create a prediction about that question. ;-)” on 2014-10-25
• tog22 said “@Andrew, I believe Peter Hurford’s on track to release them in early November – see http://bit.ly/1wyNyG7” on 2014-10-26
• rebellionkid   judged this prediction wrong on 2015-03-24.
• rebellionkid said “With 69.1% in the non-“meat-eater” categories” on 2015-03-24