Google will be rebuffed in their attempt to acquire the Nortel patents

Created by kallman on 2011-04-10; known on 2011-06-30; judged right by gwern on 2011-07-01.

  • kallman estimated 60% on 2011-04-10
  • gwern estimated 40% and said “google seems to do many of these things just to raise the priceon 2011-04-12
  • gwern estimated 60% and said “er, I meant 60% that they would fail, which by the rebuffed wording is 60% for. oops…on 2011-06-30
  • gwern said “they didn’t get it, marking right: http://www.cringely.com/2011/07/the-enemy-of-my-enemy/on 2011-07-01
  • gwern  judged this prediction right on 2011-07-01.

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