Northern hemisphere will be frozen into ice age by 2012

Created by Ye on 2011-04-10; known on 2012-12-12; judged wrong by JoshuaZ on 2012-12-12.

• Ye estimated 88% on 2011-04-10
• Ben Doherty estimated 1% on 2011-04-11
• Sandra Åhlén estimated 1% on 2011-04-11
• Nic_Smith estimated 1% and said “2012? That’s next year!” on 2011-04-11
• puya said “10%” on 2011-04-11
• DavidPercival estimated 1% on 2011-04-12
• gwern estimated 0% and said “you can’t freeze in a year!” on 2011-04-12
• maxdemian   judged this prediction wrong on 2011-04-16.
• Nic_Smith   judged this prediction unknown on 2011-04-17.
• PseudonymousUser estimated 0% and said “88%? Did you move to the Southern hemisphere already?” on 2011-04-17
• Jessica Hartany estimated 1% on 2011-04-19
• Eunseo estimated 1% on 2011-04-22
• blindgrapefruit2   judged this prediction wrong on 2011-04-29.
• blindgrapefruit2   judged this prediction unknown on 2011-04-29.
• blindgrapefruit2   judged this prediction wrong on 2011-04-29.
• blindgrapefruit2 said “I know of no natural or human process that could freeze the Northern Hemisphere on this time scale…” on 2011-04-29
• Nic_Smith   judged this prediction unknown on 2011-04-29.
• faul_sname estimated 0% and said “Ummm… Was that supposed to be 88% AGAINST?” on 2011-07-01
• JoshuaZ estimated 1% on 2011-07-01
• fergus estimated 1% on 2011-08-19
• NathanMcKnight estimated 0% and said “Because 0.000001% isn’t an option.” on 2011-11-12
• Emanuel Rylke estimated 0% on 2012-04-26
• Qiaochu estimated 0% on 2012-10-14
• JoshuaZ estimated 0% on 2012-10-14
• JoshuaZ estimated 0% on 2012-10-14
• JoshuaZ estimated 0% on 2012-10-14
• kiba estimated 0% on 2012-11-25
• JoshuaZ   judged this prediction wrong on 2012-12-12.