There will be an massive earthquake in the midde east next year.

Created by puya on 2011-04-17; known on 2012-12-30; judged wrong by Qiaochu on 2012-12-30.

• puya estimated 90% on 2011-04-17
• PseudonymousUser said “How do you define massive?” on 2011-04-17
• Ben Doherty estimated 5% and said “if we say that massive is 8+, then” on 2011-04-22
• DaFranker estimated 5% and said “Going with “massive” as a 7.9+” on 2012-12-06
• Tuxedage estimated 4% on 2012-12-28
• Random8042 estimated 78% on 2012-12-29
• Random8042 said “oh, i thought it meant 2013. obviously we now know what happened in 2012. sorry” on 2012-12-29
• Qiaochu   judged this prediction wrong on 2012-12-30.
• Qiaochu said “http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2012_earthquakes” on 2012-12-30