There will be an massive earthquake in the midde east next year.

Created by puya on 2011-04-17; known on 2012-12-30; judged wrong by Qiaochu on 2012-12-30.

  • puya estimated 90% on 2011-04-17
  • bobpage said “How do you define massive?on 2011-04-17
  • Ben Doherty estimated 5% and said “if we say that massive is 8+, thenon 2011-04-22
  • DaFranker estimated 5% and said “Going with “massive” as a 7.9+on 2012-12-06
  • Tuxedage estimated 4% on 2012-12-28
  • Random8042 estimated 78% on 2012-12-29
  • Random8042 said “oh, i thought it meant 2013. obviously we now know what happened in 2012. sorryon 2012-12-29
  • Qiaochu  judged this prediction wrong on 2012-12-30.
  • Qiaochu said “http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2012_earthquakeson 2012-12-30

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