Vladimir Putin to be awarded the 2014 Nobel Peace Prize

Created by Ham Nox on 2014-07-19; known on 2014-10-10; judged wrong by qznc on 2014-10-10.

• Ham Nox estimated 3% on 2014-07-19
• Ham Nox estimated 5% and said “I which I actually read up on Putin a little, in case it wasn’t just a joke prediction… It’s not. I may have picked up a little bias listening to all that outrage about the Sochi Olympics.” on 2014-07-19
• Ben Doherty estimated 2% on 2014-07-20
• tibi3000 estimated 0% on 2014-07-20
• HonoreDB estimated 1% on 2014-07-20
• PseudonymousUser estimated 1% on 2014-07-21
• Silver estimated 2% on 2014-07-21
• qznc estimated 5% on 2014-07-21
• rebellionkid estimated 1% on 2014-07-21
• Andrew MacFie estimated 1% on 2014-07-21
• lpetit estimated 0% on 2014-07-21
• JoshuaZ estimated 0% on 2014-07-23
• blubble estimated 2% on 2014-07-25
• sigmaleph estimated 1% on 2014-07-27
• RobertLumley estimated 0% on 2014-07-29
• rydra_w estimated 0% on 2014-07-31
• TeMPOraL estimated 0% on 2014-08-14
• TeMPOraL estimated 0% and said “Oh well, 0 and 1 are not probabilities :P.” on 2014-08-14
• TeMPOraL estimated 1% and said “And PredictionBook doesn’t support fractionals sigh.” on 2014-08-14
• tdhellma estimated 0% on 2014-08-14
• azatris estimated 2% on 2014-08-16
• Silver estimated 1% on 2014-08-30
• Grognor estimated 4% on 2014-09-09
• PrinceMachiavelli estimated 1% on 2014-10-06
• Andrew MacFie   judged this prediction wrong on 2014-10-10.
• qznc   judged this prediction right on 2014-10-10.
• qznc   judged this prediction wrong on 2014-10-10.