Bitcoin: <$1/btc in 6 weeks —cjb
- gwern estimated 10% on 2011-05-01
- gwern said “see short-term fall prediction: http://predictionbook.com/predictions/2628” on 2011-05-01
- gwern said “don’t agree it’ll fall this much. fair amount of interest and people will have bargain hunting mindset with the $4 peak recently” on 2011-05-01
- gwern said “Looking very bad for this prediction; the question is now more like will it be past $20/btc when this comes due rather than will it be below $1…” on 2011-06-05
- gwern said “last mtgox price: 20.15. marking wrong.” on 2011-06-12
- gwern judged this prediction wrong on 2011-06-12.
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