There will be a terrorist attack in the USA in the next month.

Created by DavidPercival on 2011-05-07; known on 2011-06-07; judged wrong by DavidPercival on 2011-06-07.

• DavidPercival estimated 20% on 2011-05-07
• gwern estimated 5% on 2011-05-10
• DavidPercival   judged this prediction wrong on 2011-06-07.