MoR update within a week

Created by yurifury on 2011-05-19; known on 2011-05-26; judged wrong by JoshuaZ on 2011-05-26.

• yurifury estimated 70% on 2011-05-19
• JoshuaZ estimated 40% on 2011-05-22
• gwern estimated 5% and said “are we using any inside information here? from the outside, the last update was almost a month and half ago…” on 2011-05-22
• gwern estimated 10% on 2011-05-22
• JoshuaZ   judged this prediction wrong on 2011-05-26.