MoR update within a week

Created by yurifury on 2011-05-19; known on 2011-05-26; judged wrong by JoshuaZ on 2011-05-26.

  • yurifury estimated 70% on 2011-05-19
  • JoshuaZ estimated 40% on 2011-05-22
  • gwern estimated 5% and said “are we using any inside information here? from the outside, the last update was almost a month and half ago…on 2011-05-22
  • gwern estimated 10% on 2011-05-22
  • JoshuaZ  judged this prediction wrong on 2011-05-26.

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