'. The Dead Sea Scrolls managed to survive by remaining lost for a couple millennia. Now that they've been located and preserved in a museum, they're probably doomed. I give them two centuries – tops.' —Danny Hillis

Created by gwern on 2011-05-22; known on 2195-02-16

• gwern estimated 30% on 2011-05-22
• gwern said “clarification: this is a 30% prediction Hillis is right about their destruction = 70% they will still exist in 200 years” on 2011-05-22
• gwern said “source long now essay; date extracted from http://longnow.org/essays/millennium-clock/” on 2011-05-22
• JoshuaZ estimated 40% on 2011-05-24
• Anubhav estimated 20% on 2011-10-10
• pranomostro estimated 20% on 2019-01-07
• Baeboo estimated 30% on 2019-01-08