Bitcoin >=$100 by July 1 —the-ace

Created by gwern on 2011-06-04; known on 2011-07-01; judged wrong by gwern on 2011-06-30.

• gwern estimated 20% on 2011-06-04
• gwern said “http://www.reddit.com/r/Bitcoin/comments/hrf9v/a_prediction_by_the_end_of_the_month_the_bitcoin/” on 2011-06-04
• gwern said “5-fold gain sounds unlikely, but on the other hand, it’s already increased more than I would have predicted over the past month, so…” on 2011-06-04
• gwern changed their prediction from “Btc >=$100 by July 1 —the-ace” on 2011-06-04
• alt229   judged this prediction wrong on 2011-06-05.
• alt229 said “I don’t think it’ll happen but since I got mt BTC in March, I hope it does :-)” on 2011-06-05
• gwern said “it’s not july yet! it’s june!” on 2011-06-07
• gwern   judged this prediction unknown on 2011-06-07.
• Glenn estimated 52% and said “$100 USD? AUD? CAD? LR?” on 2011-06-09
• gwern said “as a self-centered American, I meant USD. (what other dollar is bitcoin ever compared against? liberian, seriously?)” on 2011-06-09
• Saliency estimated 5% on 2011-06-09
• PseudonymousUser estimated 15% on 2011-06-11
• kallman estimated 5% and said “It’s volatile but not THAT volatile.” on 2011-06-22
• tedks estimated 0% on 2011-06-28
• gwern   judged this prediction wrong on 2011-06-30.