Bitcoin >=$100 by July 1 —the-ace

Created by gwern on 2011-06-04; known on 2011-07-01; judged wrong by gwern on 2011-06-30.

  • gwern estimated 20% on 2011-06-04
  • gwern said “http://www.reddit.com/r/Bitcoin/comments/hrf9v/a_prediction_by_the_end_of_the_month_the_bitcoin/on 2011-06-04
  • gwern said “5-fold gain sounds unlikely, but on the other hand, it’s already increased more than I would have predicted over the past month, so…on 2011-06-04
  • gwern changed their prediction from “Btc >=$100 by July 1 —the-ace” on 2011-06-04
  • alt229  judged this prediction wrong on 2011-06-05.
  • alt229 said “I don’t think it’ll happen but since I got mt BTC in March, I hope it does :-)on 2011-06-05
  • gwern said “it’s not july yet! it’s june!on 2011-06-07
  • gwern  judged this prediction unknown on 2011-06-07.
  • Glenn estimated 52% and said “$100 USD? AUD? CAD? LR?on 2011-06-09
  • gwern said “as a self-centered American, I meant USD. (what other dollar is bitcoin ever compared against? liberian, seriously?)on 2011-06-09
  • Saliency estimated 5% on 2011-06-09
  • bobpage estimated 15% on 2011-06-11
  • kallman estimated 5% and said “It’s volatile but not THAT volatile.on 2011-06-22
  • tedks estimated 0% on 2011-06-28
  • gwern  judged this prediction wrong on 2011-06-30.

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