P=NP, and proven by 12 December 2012 —Dick Lipton

Created by gwern on 2011-06-27; known on 2012-12-12; judged wrong by JoshuaZ on 2012-12-12.

  • gwern estimated 2% on 2011-06-27
  • gwern said “https://rjlipton.wordpress.com/2011/06/24/polls-and-predictions-and-pnp/on 2011-06-27
  • gwern changed their prediction from “P=NP? solved by 12 December 2012 —Dick Barrington” on 2011-06-27
  • gwern estimated 1% on 2011-06-27
  • gwern changed their prediction from “P=NP, and proven by 12 December 2012 —Dick Barrington” on 2011-06-27
  • JoshuaZ estimated 2% on 2011-06-27
  • gwern changed their prediction from “P=NP, and proven by 12 December 2012 —Dick Cleve” on 2011-06-27
  • JoshuaZ said “I think this is just Dick being silly. on 2011-06-28
  • gimpf estimated 2% on 2011-07-14
  • TheScholar estimated 0% and said “Personally I’m convinced that P≠NP is true? But proving this will be very difficult and may take centuries.on 2011-07-20
  • JoshuaZ said “tags:math, computer scienceon 2011-09-04
  • Anubhav estimated 0% on 2011-10-12
  • RandomThinker estimated 1% on 2012-05-05
  • Qiaochu estimated 0% on 2012-10-14
  • JoshuaZ estimated 0% on 2012-10-14
  • Sarokrae estimated 0% on 2012-11-05
  • kilobug estimated 2% on 2012-11-09
  • ChristianKl estimated 0% on 2012-12-03
  • JoshuaZ  judged this prediction wrong on 2012-12-12.

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