MyBitcoin will go back up before 2011-09-04 UTC and allow > 90% of users to withdraw their full balances

Created by bobpage on 2011-08-04; known on 2011-09-05; judged wrong by gwern on 2011-08-14.

  • bobpage estimated 6% on 2011-08-04
  • gwern estimated 3% on 2011-08-04
  • gwern said “I don’t think there’s any reasonable likelihood they are going to change their 50% policy, which means this is false – people are not getting their full balances. marking wrong.on 2011-08-14
  • gwern  judged this prediction wrong on 2011-08-14.

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