I will complete the Good Judgment Project and be paid the full honorarium.

Created by gwern on 2011-08-05; known on 2015-01-01; judged right by gwern on 2015-01-01.

  • gwern estimated 90% on 2011-08-05
  • Porejide estimated 75% and said “3 years is a long timeon 2011-08-09
  • gwern said “GJP has been extended or something, but I’m still there predicting, still being paid. marking righton 2015-01-01
  • gwern  judged this prediction right on 2015-01-01.

Please log in to respond to or judge prediction