By default, the Command Prompt in Windows 8 RTM will be resizable (to an increase in width) by dragging the corner resizer.

Created by PseudonymousUser on 2011-08-09; known on 2012-08-15; judged wrong by PseudonymousUser on 2012-09-03.

• PseudonymousUser estimated 29% on 2011-08-09
• gwern estimated 60% on 2011-08-10
• JoshuaZ estimated 55% on 2011-08-10
• PseudonymousUser said “Hah, you guys sure are optimists about a thing that hasn’t changed in forever” on 2011-08-10
• gwern estimated 40% and said “bleh, misread it. I was trying to anchor on bobpage but be a little underconfident because that’s what his graph indicates” on 2011-08-10
• PseudonymousUser estimated 15% on 2012-01-01
• PseudonymousUser estimated 3% and said “I just tried Windows 8 Consumer Preview; it looks like there are no changes to conhost” on 2012-02-29
• PseudonymousUser estimated 2% and said “not resizable in Windows 8 Release Preview” on 2012-06-01
• PseudonymousUser changed the deadline from “on 2012-06-01” on 2012-06-03
• Jayson Virissimo estimated 5% on 2012-07-08
• PseudonymousUser   judged this prediction wrong on 2012-09-03.
• gwern said “I am amused at the quantification of despair in this prediction.” on 2012-09-04