“United States GDP growth for Q2 of 2011 will be positive” —Intrade

Created by gwern on 2011-08-16; known on 2012-01-01; judged right by faws on 2012-01-01.

• gwern estimated 98% on 2011-08-16
• gwern said “http://www.intrade.com/v4/markets/contract/?contractId=727630 96%” on 2011-08-16
• faws   judged this prediction right on 2012-01-01.