“The US Economy will go into Recession during 2011” —Intrade

Created by gwern on 2011-08-16; known on 2012-01-01; judged wrong by faws on 2012-01-01.

• gwern estimated 5% on 2011-08-16
• gwern said “http://www.intrade.com/v4/markets/contract/?contractId=693074 15%” on 2011-08-16
• JoshuaZ estimated 20% on 2011-08-16
• faws   judged this prediction wrong on 2012-01-01.