I will have watched every video on Khan Academy by August 2013.

Created by Alexander Kruel on 2011-08-17; known on 2013-08-17; judged wrong by dk on 2013-11-04.

  • Alexander Kruel estimated 90% on 2011-08-17
  • gwern estimated 60% and said “every single one? that sounds incredibly boringon 2011-08-17
  • JoshuaZ estimated 65% on 2011-08-17
  • bobpage estimated 19% and said “How many have you watched already?on 2011-08-17
  • gwern said “if I may point out, you have already failed to exercise substantial amounts of willpower over a period of years: http://predictionbook.com/predictions/2909on 2011-08-17
  • Jach estimated 15% on 2011-08-18
  • Alexander Kruel said “I have already watched all the videos in the Arithmetic and Computer Science section and almost finished the Algebra section.on 2011-08-18
  • roxton estimated 30% on 2011-09-19
  • Pablo Stafforini estimated 15% on 2012-10-06
  • Malgidus estimated 40% and said “You could die, site could collapse, willpower, too many videos released, etc.on 2013-03-27
  • Jayson Virissimo estimated 20% on 2013-04-25
  • holycow81 estimated 34% on 2013-06-09
  • Flipnash estimated 46% on 2013-08-19
  • dk  judged this prediction wrong on 2013-11-04.

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